Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 39.600724 46.794671 54.689276 63.964480 74.530424 86.158423 99.888765
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.507668 36.636830 47.654302 61.795462 79.316523 100.156570 126.647295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.438598 31.372555 44.275049 61.971832 85.283941 114.585440 153.787009
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.640981 27.979912 42.265566 62.959353 91.598342 129.198732 181.540645
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.309826 22.909454 37.021402 58.588155 89.886018 132.705905 194.560314
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.541543 21.253608 36.270068 60.223191 96.305590 147.272468 223.008718
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.641360 19.012510 34.253209 59.611269 99.218383 156.901356 244.948490
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.982347 18.718447 35.204085 63.557690 109.104674 177.012735 282.802749
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.153515 16.009186 31.795990 60.103297 107.189346 179.444595 294.836987
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.498806 15.368956 31.816284 62.249075 114.201509 195.634972 328.065808
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.226203 15.430085 33.070234 66.573341 125.001755 218.187265 371.976371
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.626908 14.708786 32.777110 68.107761 131.195566 233.744201 405.724300
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.815156 13.482053 31.564183 68.240207 135.681047 247.904867 439.843652
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.900187 11.827317 29.291148 66.205363 136.337787 256.092023 465.352648
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.333108 10.861776 28.269721 66.418496 140.970421 271.112651 502.704260
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.915871 10.170334 27.717441 67.467996 147.166902 289.087348 545.785147
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.210574 8.478864 24.610485 62.833381 142.141674 287.134148 555.063471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.979057 8.097362 24.510045 64.567438 149.558366 307.602667 603.684961
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.664168 7.357172 23.396566 63.918521 152.140281 319.418102 637.735711
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.599561 7.429743 24.371089 68.102503 164.839198 350.465971 707.086192
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.241014 6.347795 22.095478 64.440303 160.955152 350.331068 720.654643
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.137839 6.178540 22.296336 66.715385 169.779810 374.691293 779.590731
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.112818 6.314429 23.391721 71.298076 183.885115 409.846364 859.660331